Göteborg, 15 June 2008, by eva the Weaver, Flickr Creative Commons
Case

Gothenburg - Creating scenarios for sustainable food

Visions of future scenarios can be important tools for creating long-term strategies. In the project Food Göteborg 2050, researchers and planners from Gothenburg developed scenarios for a sustainable food production and supply chain by using a method called backcasting. The visualisations developed in the scenarios have become part of the strategic planning of the Gothenburg City and region.


Small-scale and local food production is an important part of a sustainable food future. With the move towards local production, it is no longer necessary to produce as much as possible. The wellbeing of animals and nature has become more significant and consumer behavioural changes are required. These were some of the key issues addressed in the visions and scenarios of the project Food Göteborg 2050. The study was carried out by a team of researchers from Chalmers University of Technology and Göteborg University in co-operation with planners from the City of Gothenburg and Göteborg Energi AB.

Scenarios with a sustainable food and grocery chain in Gothenburg City and the surrounding region have been developed through the use of a ‘backcasting’ methodology. In the first step of this method, an analysis is made into the present state of, and trends in, a society. Secondly, criteria for a sustainable city in a sustainable society are developed and, thirdly, images of the future are envisioned through use of workshops and other forms of input. Finally, the visions are compared to the present state and trends, are used for strategic planning, and specifically act as guidelines for action plans that speed up the process of change.

Outdoor food market in Göteborg, 7 July 2008, By Silversprite, Flickr Creative Commons

The backcasting method has located five essential features of sustainable food scenarios:

• Sustainable and locally produced food
• A diet with a higher proportion of vegetables
• Shorter distance and closer relations between producers and consumers
• Food trade placed in local squares
• Conscious and energy efficient consumption

“In the fifty years between 2000 and 2050 we will see radical changes in food handling. There will be much more shopping locally, with stalls on the neighbourhood square, and we will order many of our staples by computer from home. Energy consumption for food handling will fall by half the amount that it was at the turn of the century.”
Göteborg 2005 www.goteborg2050.nu

The essential necessary element for the success of the scenarios is change in consumer behaviour. By 2050, the citizens of Gothenburg have become strongly aware of which food they buy and the effect of food production on the environment. The food is labeled with information about origin, transportation volume and energy use. There is an awareness that a sustainable diet consists of two thirds vegetable protein and one third of animal protein. Today, these proportions are reversed.

City farms in Gothenburg

The City of Gothenburg owns 60 city farms, encompassing some 2,700 hectares of land. This land, which was originally acquired as a group of sites for future urban expansion, is currently utilized for a variety of agricultural and recreational purposes. Farmers lease the bigger properties while a number of the smaller farms are open to the public and utilized for social functions. Examples of these functions include public stables, pick-your-own berry and vegetable farms, animal visiting and petting farms, etc. The city farms are essential elements for the success of the 2050 visions, particularly in terms of local food production and sale. Furthermore, they are concrete tools for raising the public awareness of a future sustainable food and grocery chain.

“City farms can allow urban dwellers to interact with farm animals and crops. For some people who may never visit a rural farm, this provides a chance to see how farm animals are breed and to make the link between 'agriculture' and 'food'. They provide a focus for educational, environmental and conservation activities.”
Wikipedia on “City farms,” 15 Dec 2008

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Making the Change

Key Learning Points

Scenarios can be a tool to put words, visions and visualisations to a necessary process of change. Backcasting is the methodology used in the Food Göteborg 2005 project.

A sustainable food and grocery chain contains a movement towards local production and sale as well as a change in consumer behaviour.

A future sustainable diet consists of two thirds vegetable protein and one third of animal protein, the opposite of today.

Process

The backcasting method involves four steps:
1. Analyse the present situation (description and trend analysis)
2. Examine and decide upon criteria for sustainability (sustainable vs. non-sustainable)
3. Create alternative scenarios (visions and visualisations)
4. Use the scenarios to promote change (strategic planning and action plans)

Facts

City Facts

City Facts – Gothenburg
Inhabitants: 498.963
* according to the City of Gothenburg 
Size (city): 450 km² (173.7 sq mi)
Density: 1,083/km² (2,805/sq mi)
GDP – per capita (PPP): USD 36,365 (2007 est.)
No. 10 on World Bank List, wikipedia 9 Dec 2008
County: Västra Götaland
Country: Sweden
Continent: Europe

Source: Wikipedia

Project facts

Food Göteborg 2050 was part of the bigger project Gothenburg 2050 (2002 to Dec 2004), which worked with visions of a sustainable society on a larger scale (energy, transport, eco-recycling etc).

Göteborg 2050 was a research and information project with the aim of stimulating public debate about a sustainable future.

Underlying all scenario work was the understanding that social sustainability – “The Good Life” as it is called in the project – is just as important as reaching environmental sustainability.

Backcasting is the methodology applied in the Food Göteborg 2005 project. 

Media

Google Map

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Dig this

Blog entry: Learning from London

Cities cannot afford not to act. These words were the essence of Nicky Gavrons talk on affordable housing and climate challenges in Copenhagen Monday 16 February. The talk was the first in a series called Copenhagen Urban Challenges arranged by Copenhagen X, the municipality of Copenhagen and the Royal Danish Academy of Fine Arts.

Fact/Quote

“Sustainable development can reduce vulnerability to climate change by enhancing adaptive capacity and increasing resilience.
At present, however, few plans for promoting sustainability have explicitly included either adapting to climate change impacts, or promoting adaptive capacity”
Climate Change, IPCC 2007

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